Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014446 0.017854 0.022248 0.028485 0.037398 0.050163 0.070841
2025-02-02 0.010955 0.014939 0.020886 0.031013 0.049313 0.084864 0.173539
2025-02-09 0.008789 0.012685 0.019036 0.031202 0.057201 0.122030 0.372878
2025-02-16 0.007440 0.011193 0.017726 0.031459 0.065312 0.172543 0.880559
2025-02-23 0.006458 0.010029 0.016574 0.031417 0.072852 0.238619 2.450518
2025-03-02 0.005567 0.008827 0.015012 0.029789 0.074937 0.292827 6.816573
2025-03-09 0.004951 0.008007 0.013997 0.029059 0.079521 0.380270 41.486589
2025-03-16 0.004562 0.007537 0.013586 0.029700 0.089961 0.566668 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004202 0.007065 0.013060 0.029835 0.099004 0.829093 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003800 0.006453 0.012106 0.028390 0.099694 1.018444 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003497 0.006004 0.011447 0.027641 0.103606 1.365797 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003323 0.005796 0.011316 0.028543 0.118466 2.498484 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003202 0.005716 0.011563 0.031207 0.153437 9.658613 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003083 0.005630 0.011798 0.034135 0.203222 157.342658 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002881 0.005327 0.011392 0.034352 0.231270 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002706 0.005064 0.011039 0.034645 0.264749 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002542 0.004805 0.010647 0.034597 0.297146 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002348 0.004457 0.009939 0.032741 0.294962 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002202 0.004205 0.009473 0.031911 0.311499 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002108 0.004067 0.009324 0.032640 0.368880 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002009 0.003908 0.009083 0.032794 0.420008 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001881 0.003669 0.008557 0.031151 0.413044 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001781 0.003488 0.008191 0.030300 0.430330 NaN NaN